本书对碳捕获与封存(carbon capture and storage,CCS)技术的经济性展开了系统的评估分析,全书针对CCS的技术特点,通过构建合适的评估方法,从不同角度分析了电厂CCS技术改造的投资评价,包含多个利益相关方的全产业链CCS合作的成本收益分析、带CCS技术的能源技术组合优化,以及CCS技术在我国中长期的减排潜力等。全书将CCS技术与项目层面的投资决策、企业层面的发电组合优化及国家层面的技术发展战略决策等问题结合,在不同维度和时间尺度上分析了CCS技术的经济性。最后基于研究成果给出相关政策启示,并对技术的可行融资模式进行了讨论。
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目录
目录 总序 序 前言 第1章碳捕获与封存技术及政策研究进展1 1.1CCS技术简介及发展现状1 1.2CCS相关国际法律法规与政策概览7 1.3CCS的示范项目16 1.4CCS技术对于中国减少温室气体排放的重要性19 1.5CCS技术经济性研究的重要性24 1.6已有CCS技术经济性研究简述24 第2章CCS项目评价模型及其在中国电力部门的应用27 2.1引言27 2.2模型描述29 2.3CCS在我国电力部门的减排潜力37 2.4本章小结47 第3章燃煤电厂的CCS改造投资建模与评价49 3.1引言49 3.2模型描述51 3.3案例分析55 3.4本章小结61 第4章碳市场机制设计及其对CCS投资的影响63 4.1引言63 4.2模型方法65 4.3模型参数71 4.4结果与讨论72 4.5本章小结82 第5章包含CCS技术的企业发电投资组合决策优化84 5.1引言84 5.2模型描述87 5.3案例分析92 5.4本章小结98 第6章全流程CCS-EOR项目中不同利益相关方的收益-风险分析100 6.1引言100 6.2模型介绍101 6.3模型参数与不确定因素分布109 6.4数值模拟与情景分析113 6.5本章小结118 第7章CCS技术在中国的中长期减排潜力119 7.1引言119 7.2模型介绍122 7.3模型参数与情景设定129 7.4计算结果与分析134 7.5本章小结143 第8章低碳技术融资激励政策及对CCS融资的建议145 8.1低碳技术现有融资政策与渠道145 8.2CCS技术融资面临的困境150 8.3CCS项目融资经验153 8.4完善CCS融资机制的建议155 8.5市场化第三方融资设想——基于BOT模式的探讨157 8.6全书总结159 参考文献162 附录1第2章模型参数表175 附录2第3章模型参数表177 附录3第4章模型参数表179 附录4第6章相关成本核算方法180 附录5第6章模型参数表184 Contents Preface Chapter 1 Research progress of CCS technology and related policies 1 1.1 Brief introduction and development situations of CCS technology 1 1.2An overview of relevent international laws,regulations and policies of CCS 7 1.3Demonstration projects of CCS 16 1.4Significance of CCS technology to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in China 19 1.5Importance of economic study on CCS technology 24 1.6Brief introdution of existing economic studieson CCS technology 24 Chapter 2 Evaluation model of CCS project and its application in Chinese power sector 27 2.1Introduction 27 2.2Model description 29 2.3Mitigation potential of CCS in Chinese powersector 37 2.4Summary of this chapter 47 Chapter 3 Modeling the investment of coal-fired power plants retrofit with CCS and assessment 49 3.1Introduction 49 3.2 Model description 51 3.3Case study 55 3.4Summary of this chapter 61 Chapter 4 Design of carbon market mechanism and its effect on CCS investment 63 4.1Introduction 63 4.2Model description 65 4.3Model parameters 71 4.4Results and discussion 72 4.5Summary of this chapter 82 Chapter 5 Generating investment portfolio decision optimization including CCS technology 84 5.1Introduction 84 5.2Model description 87 5.3Case study 92 5.4Summary of this chapter 98 Chapter 6 A benefit-risk analysis of different stakeholders in full-chain CCS-EOR project 100 6.1Introduction 100 6.2Introduction of model 101 6.3Model parameters and distributions ofuncertainty factors 109 6.4 Numerical simulation and scenario analysis 113 6.5Summary of this chapter 118 Chapter 7 CCS emission reduction CO2 mitigation potential of CCS in medium and long term in China 119 7.1Introduction 119 7.2Introduction of model 122 7.3Model parameters and Scenario settings 129 7.4Result and analysis 134 7.5Summary of this chapter 143 Chapter 8 Financing incentive policy for low-carbon technologies and suggestions for CCS financing 145 8.1Existing financing policies and channels of low-carbon technologies 145 8.2Predicament faced by CCS technologyfinancing 150 8.3Financing experience of CCS project 153 8.4Advice for CCS financing mechanisms 155 8.5Ideas of market- oriented Third Party Financing based on BOT model 157 8.6Summary of this book 159 References 162 Appendix 1 Parameter list in chapter 2 175 Appendix 2Parameter list in chapter 3 177 Appendix 3Parameter list in chapter 4 179 Appendix 4Accounting method of relevent cost in chapter 6 180 Appendix 5Parameter lists in chapter 6 184