目录 研究报告 全球集装箱港口系统“四环”预测研究框架设计、研究进展与研究范式的扩展应用 汪寿阳,许利枝(1) 研究论文 智能手机与出生率:基于市县数据的实证研究 杨晓光,王云龙,李赓(12) 混合竞争战略、弹性风险管理与企业价值——基于青岛红领集团的案例研究 吕文栋,林琳(27) 杠杆对资产价格泡沫的分位脉冲响应研究 汪冬华,陈鸿坚(48) 基于ADASYN-BPNN的农户小额贷款信用评价研究 石宝峰,杨莲,柴娜娜(64) A股动量及反转效应研究——基于价格冲击的视角 刘维奇,李林熹,王雨诗(77) 数字金融、收入差距对居民消费的影响研究 芦彩梅,王海艳(92) 基于非径向方法的高校科技创新效率评价 兰锦荣,范建平(104) 研究方法 空间面板模型原理、方法与应用 杨威,任晓航(114) CONTENTS A “Four Rings” Prediction Research Framework of Global Container Port System,its Research Developments and Extended ApplicationsWang Shouyang,Xu Lizhi(11) Smartphone and Birth Rate:Empirical Study Based on Chinese City and County Data Yang Xiaoguang,Wang Yunlong,Li Geng(26) Hybrid Competitive Strategy,Resilient Risk Management and Enterprise Value:A Case Study Based on the Qingdao Red Collar GroupLv Wendong,Lin Lin(47) Research on the Quantum Response of Leverage to Asset Price Bubble Wang Donghua,Chen Hongjian(63) Study on Credit Assessment of Farmers Microfinance Based on ADASYN-BPNN Method Shi Baofeng,Yang Lian,Chai Nana(76) The Momentum and Reversal Effect of A-share Market:Based on the Perspective of Price Shocks Liu Weiqi,Li Linxi,Wang Yushi(91) Research on the Influence of Digital Finance and Income Gap on Household Consumption Lu Caimei,Wang Haiyan(103) Evaluation of University Science and Technology Innovation Efficiency Based on Non-radial Method Lan Jinrong,Fan Jianping(113) Principles, Methodology and Applications of Spatial Panel ModelsYang Wei ,Ren Xiaohang (122)