目录 前言/001 第一篇 “多规合一”视角下土地供给侧结构性改革的作用机理与理论框架研究 第1章 导论 1.1 研究背景/003 1.2 研究意义/006 1.3 研究目的/008 1.4 拟解决的关键性问题/010 1.5 研究思路与具体内容/013 1.6 研究的重点与创新点/035 1.7 研究总体技术路线/041 第2章 文献综述 2.1 土地供给侧数量改革相关研究概述/043 2.2 土地供给侧空间改革相关研究概述/057 2.3 土地供给侧时序改革相关研究概述/064 第3章 理论基础 3.1 土地供给侧数量改革相关理论/085 3.2 土地供给侧空间改革相关理论/100 3.3 土地供给侧时序改革相关理论/141 第4章 多规并存的现状分析与“多规合一”的本质剖析 4.1 规划体系相关概念辨析/157 4.2 国外空间规划体系借鉴/164 4.3 国内规划体系的历史发展与现状分析/167 4.4“多规合一”的本质剖析/178 第5章 土地供给侧结构性改革的本质认知 5.1 关于供给侧结构性改革/181 5.2 关于土地的供给侧结构性改革/185 第6章“多规合一”促进土地供给侧结构性改革的机理研究 6.1 土地规划与供给侧结构性改革的理论关系/193 6.2 基于波特五力模型的省级国土空间规划理论分析/197 6.3 系统论下的综合影响机理/239 第7章“多规合一”视角下土地供给侧结构性改革的理论框架构建 7.1 供给侧结构性改革的土地利用结构优化动因、内涵与原则/245 7.2 供给侧结构性改革的土地利用结构优化功能、定位与目标/250 7.3 供给侧结构性改革的土地利用结构优化理论框架/257 7.4“多规合一”视角下土地供给侧结构性改革的制度体系设计/261 第二篇 “多规合一”视角下土地供给侧数量结构改革路径设计 第8章 新时期土地利用供需匹配研究 8.1 土地供需匹配关系再认知/267 8.2 新时期战略诉求梳理/291 8.3 供需不匹配原因梳理/301 第9章 土地数量结构动态变化特征与驱动机制研究 9.1 全国土地数量结构变化规律/314 9.2 北京市土地数量结构变化特征与驱动/331 9.3 海淀区土地数量结构变化特征与驱动/354 第10章 土地数量结构优化研究 10.1 供给侧结构性改革导向的土地利用数量结构优化意义与流程/379 10.2 供给侧结构性改革导向的土地利用数量结构优化模型构建/381 10.3 供给侧结构性改革导向的土地利用数量结构优化结果/393 第11章 水资源约束下的土地供需情况分析 11.1 水资源概况/399 11.2 供水预测/402 11.3 基于水资源承载力的人口预测/406 11.4 水资源约束下的土地需求量预测/413 11.5 人-地-水协调的实证分析/415 第12章 基于协同发展的狭义国土开发强度内涵界定与阈值测度研究 12.1 狭义国土开发强度内涵界定/423 12.2 研究材料与方法/426 12.3 狭义国土开发强度测度结果/432 第13章 风险约束下土地供给侧数量结构改革路径研究 13.1 土地供应结构风险形成机理研究/439 13.2 土地供应结构风险评估框架/443 13.3 案例研究:北京七王坟村/447 第三篇 “多规合一”视角下土地供给侧空间结构改革路径设计 第14章 国土空间单元的优化配置 14.1 空间单元的集聚与分散/459 14.2 空间单元的重心/467 14.3 重心节点协调/471 第15章 国土空间单元优化配置的实证研究 15.1 研究区域基本情况/478 15.2 省域单元的空间格局演化/482 15.3 城市单元的空间格局演化/505 第16章 国土空间结构的优化路径 16.1 国土空间单元间的相互作用/536 16.2 国土空间的引线联结/539 16.3 空间引流与载体匹配/543 第17章 国土空间结构引线联结的实证 17.1 城镇空间结构概况/545 17.2 城市空间引力测算/549 第18章 国土空间板块的分区管控 18.1 基于功能分区的板块识别/564 18.2 功能板块的内部结构优化模式/577 18.3 功能板块的外部边界管控/583 第19章 国土空间板块优化配置的应用实践 19.1 空间板块概况/590 19.2 国土空间功能适宜性评价/594 第20章 河北省国土空间格局优化方案 20.1 国土空间总体格局/607 20.2 重心–引线发展格局/608 20.3 功能板块协调格局/609 20.4 区域空间统筹格局/612 第四篇 “多规合一”视角下土地供给侧时序结构改革路径设计 第21章 国土空间规划的时序特征及其对土地供给影响机理分析 21.1 国土空间规划生命周期概念梳理/617 21.2 国土空间规划生命周期阶段特征与问题识别/621 21.3 国土空间规划生命周期对国土空间供给侧的影响/639 第22章 土地利用的时序特征及规划需求分析 22.1 土地利用生命周期解析/650 22.2 土地利用生命周期特征与问题辨析/674 22.3 土地利用生命周期内对规划体系的需求/686 第23章 国土空间利用的时序结构优化路径——一个国土空间规划实践的评价框架 23.1“规划-土地”生命周期匹配研究框架/695 23.2 土地利用不同生命周期驱动因素的识别/711 23.3 国土空间的时序配置结构优化路径/735 第24章 国土空间规划供给的预警与评估 24.1 国土空间规划预警概念模型的构建/743 24.2 基于规划生命周期的警源分析/743 24.3 国土空间规划警兆诊断与预测/749 24.4 国土空间规划警情的评估与判定/753 24.5 北京市海淀区规划预警机制的案例应用/758 第五篇 “多规合一”视角下土地供给侧结构性改革的案例应用与反馈修正 第25章“区-镇-村”城乡协同的“多规合一”视角下土地供给侧结构性改革案例研究 25.1 海淀区土地供给侧结构性改革优化路径/781 25.2 苏家坨镇土地供给侧结构性改革优化路径/794 25.3 七王坟村土地供给侧结构性改革优化路径/804 第26章 基于纵向关联和横向比较的“多规合一”视角下土地供给侧结构性改革案例研究 26.1 河北省“多规合一”国土空间规划/812 26.2 武汉市“多规合一”实践/822 26.3 寻甸县“多规合一”实践/864 第27章“点-线-面”跨区统筹的“多规合一”视角下土地供给侧结构性改革案例研究 27.1 国土空间单元的优化配置/896 27.2 国土空间引线联结的优化路径/905 27.3 国土空间板块的分区整治与内部优化/927 第28章 结论与建议 28.1 研究结论/934 28.2 研究建议/944 参考文献/967 索引/1004 后记/1008 Contents Preface/001 PART 1 STUDY ON THE MECHANISM AND THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK OF LAND SUPPLY-SIDE STRUCTURAL REFORM FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF“MULTIPLE PLANNING INTEGRATION” CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 1.1 Background/003 1.2 Significance/006 1.3 Objectives/008 1.4 Key Problems to be Solved/010 1.5 Ideas and Specific Contents/013 1.6 Key Difficulties and Innovations of the Research/035 1.7 Overall Technical Route/041 CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW 2.1 Overview of Relevant Research on Land Supply-Side Quantity Reform/043 2.2 Overview of Relevant Research on Land Supply-Side Spatial Reform/057 2.3 Overview of Relevant Research on Land Supply-Side Timing Reform/064 CHAPTER 3 THEORETICAL BASIS 3.1 Relevant Theories of Land Supply-Side Quantity Reform/085 3.2 Relevant Theories of Land Supply-Side Space Reform/100 3.3 Relevant Theories of Land Supply-Side Timing Reform/141 CHAPTER 4 ANALYSIS OF THE CURRENT SITUATION OF MULTIPLE PLANNING COEXISTENCE AND THE ESSENCE OF“MULTIPLE PLANNING INTEGRATION” 4.1 Differentiation and Analysis of Relevant Concepts of Planning System/157 4.2 Reference of Foreign Spatial Planning System/164 4.3 Historical Development and Current Situation Analysis of Domestic Planning System/167 4.4 Analysis of the Essence of“Multiple Planning Integration”/178 CHAPTER 5 THE ESSENTIAL COGNITION OF LAND SUPPLY-SIDE STRUCTURAL REFORM 5.1 Supply-Side Structural Reform/181 5.2 Supply-Side Structural Reform of Land/185 CHAPTER 6 RESEARCH ON THE MECHANISM OF“MULTIPLE PLANNING INTEGRATION”PROMOTING THE STRUCTURAL REFORM OF LAND SUPPLY-SIDE 6.1 Theoretical Relationship Between Land Planning and Supply-Side Structural Reform/193 6.2 Theoretical Analysis of Provincial Land Spatial Planning Based on Porter’s Five Forces Model/197 6.3 Comprehensive Influence Mechanism Under System Theory/239 CHAPTER 7 CONSTRUCTION OF THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK OF LAND SUPPLY-SIDE STRUCTURAL REFORM FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF“MULTIPLE PLANNING INTEGRATION” 7.1 Motivation, Connotation and Principle of Land Use Structure Optimization Guided by Supply-Side Structural Reform/245 7.2 Function, Orientation and Objectives of Land Use Structure Optimization Guided by Supply-Side Structural Reform/250 7.3 Theoretical Framework of Land Use Structure Optimization Guided by Supply-Side Structural Reform/257 7.4 Institutional System Design of Land Supply-Side Structural Reform from the Perspective of“Multiple Planning Integration”/261 PART 2 THE PATH DESIGN OF LAND SUPPLY-SIDE QUANTITATIVE STRUCTURE REFORM FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF“MULTIPLE PLANNING INTEGRATION” CHAPTER 8 RESEARCH ON LAND USE SUPPLY AND DEMAND MATCHING IN THE NEW PERIOD 8.1 Recognition of the Matching Relationship between Land Supply and Demand/267 8.2 Sorting Out the Strategic Demands in the New Period/291 8.3 Sorting Out the Causes of Supply and Demand Mismatch/301 CHAPTER 9 RESEARCH ON DYNAMIC CHANGE CHARACTERISTICS AND DRIVING MECHANISM OF LAND QUANTITY STRUCTURE 9.1 Laws of Land Quantity Structure Change Nationwide/314 9.2 Characteristics and Drivers of Land Quantity Structure Change in Beijing/331 9.3 Characteristics and Drivers of Land Quantity Structure Change in Haidian District/354 CHAPTER 10 OPTIMIZATION OF LAND QUANTITY STRUCTURE 10.1 Significance and Process of Optimizing the Quantitative Structure of Land Use Guided by Supply-Side Structural Reform/379 10.2 Construction of Quantitative Structure Optimization Model of Land Use Guided by Supply-Side Structural Reform/381 10.3 Optimization Results of Land Use Quantitative Structure Guided by Supply-Side Structural Reform/393 CHAPTER 11 ANALYSIS OF LAND SUPPLY AND DEMAND UNDER THE CONSTRAINT OF WATER RESOURCE 11.1 Overview of Water Resource/399 11.2 Water Supply Forecast/402 11.3 Population Forecast based on Water Resource Carrying Capacity/406 11.4 Prediction of Land Demand Under Water Resource Constrain/413 11.5 Empirical Analysis of Man-Land-Water Coordination/415 CHAPTER 12 RESEARCH ON CONNOTATION DEFINITION AND THRESHOLD MEASUREMENT OF NARROW LAND DEVELOPMENT INTENSITY BASED ON COORDINATED DEVELOPMENT 12.1 Definition of Land Development Intensity in a Narrow Sense/423 12.2 Research Materials and Methods/426 12.3 Measurement Results of Land Development Intensity in a Narrow Sense/432 CHAPTER 13 RESEARCH ON THE PATH OF LAND SUPPLY-SIDE QUANTITATIVE STRUCTURE REFORM UNDER RISK CONSTRAINT 13.1 Study on Risk Formation Mechanism of Land Supply Structure/439 13.2 Risk Assessment Framework for Land Supply Structure/443 13.3 Case Study: Qiwangfen Village, Beijing/447 PART 3 DESIGN OF LAND SUPPLY-SIDE SPATIAL STRUCTURE REFORM PATH FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF“MULTIPLE PLANNING INTEGRATION” CHAPTER 14 OPTIMIZED ALLOCATION OF TERRITORIAL SPACE UNIT 14.1 Aggregation and Dispersion of Spatial Unit/459 14.2 Center of Gravity of Spatial Unit/467 14.3 Coordination of Gravity Node/471 CHAPTER 15 EMPIRICAL STUDY ON OPTIMAL ALLOCATION OF TERRITORIAL SPACE UNITS 15.1 Basic Information of the Study Area/478 15.2 Evolution of Spatial Pattern of Provincial Units/482 15.3 Spatial Pattern Evolution of Urban Units/505 CHAPTER 16 OPTIMIZATION OF LAND SPATIAL STRUCTURE 16.1 Interaction between Territorial Spatial Units/536 16.2 Lead Connection of Land Space/539 16.3 Spatial Drainage and Carrier Matching/543 CHAPTER 17 DEMONSTRATION OF LEAD CONNECTION OF LAND SPATIAL STRUCTURE 17.1 Overview of Urban Spatial Structure/545 17.2 Calculation of Urban Spatial Gravitation/549 CHAPTER 18 ZONING CONTROL OF LAND AND SPACE 18.1 Plate Identification based on Functional Compartment/564 18.2 Internal Structure Optimization Mode of Function Block/577 18.3 Control of External Boundary of Function Block/583 CHAPTER 19 APPLICATION PRACTICE OF OPTIMAL ALLOCATION OF LAND AND SPACE PLATE 19.1 Overview of Space Plate/590 19.2 Evaluation on Suitability of Land Space Function/594 CHAPTER 20 OPTIMIZATION PLAN OF LAND SPATIAL PATTERN OF HEBEI PROVINCE 20.1 Overall Land Spatial Pattern/607 20.2 Development Pattern of Gravity Center-Lead/608 20.3 Coordination Pattern of Functional Sectors/609 20.4 Regional Spatial Planning Pattern/612 PART 4 DESIGN OF LAND SUPPLY-SIDE TIME SEQUENCE STRUCTURE REFORM PATH OF“MULTIPLE PLANNING INTEGRATION” CHAPTER 21 TEMPORAL CHARACTERISTICS OF LAND SPATIAL PLANNING AND ITS IMPACT ON LAND SUPPLY MECHANISM 21.1 Concept Carding of Land Space Planning Life Cycle/617 21.2 Characteristics and Problem Identification of Land Spatial Planning Life Cycle/621 21.3 Impact of Land Space Planning Life Cycle on Land Space Supply-Side/639 CHAPTER 22 TIME SERIES CHARACTERISTICS OF LAND USE AND ANALYSIS OF PLANNING DEMAND 22.1 Analysis of Land Use Life Cycle/650 22.2 Land Use Life Cycle Characteristics and Problem Analysis/674 22.3 Demand for Planning System within the Life Cycle of Land Use/686 CHAPTER 23 OPTIMIZATION PATH OF TIME SERIES STRUCTURE OF LAND AND SPACE USE—AN EVALUATION FRAMEWORK FOR LAND AND SPACE PLANNING PRACTICE 23.1 Research Framework of“Planning-Land”Life Cycle Matching/695 23.2 Identification of Drivers of Different Life Cycles of Land Use/711 23.3 Optimization Path of Time Sequence Configuration Structure of Land Space/735 CHAPTER 24 EARLY WARNING AND ASSESSMENT OF TERRITORIAL SPATIAL PLANNING SUPPLY 24.1 Construction of Early Warning Conceptual Model forTerritorial Spatial Planning/743 24.2 Alarm Source Analysis based on Planning Life Cycle/743 24.3 Diagnosis and Prediction of Warning Signs in Territorial Spatial Planning/749 24.4 Evaluation and Judgment of Warning Warning in Territorial Spatial Planning/753 24.5 Case Study on Early Warning Mechanism of Haidian District Planning in Beijing/758 PART 5 CASE APPLICATION AND FEEDBACK AMENDMENT OF LAND SUPPLY-SIDE STRUCTURAL REFORM FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF“MULTIPLE PLANNING INTEGRATION” CHAPTER 25 A CASE STUDY OF LAND SUPPLY-SIDE STRUCTURAL REFORM FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF“MULTIPLE PLANNING INTEGRATION”WITHIN“DISTRICT-TOWN-VILLAGE”URBAN-RURAL COORDINATION 25.1 Optimization Path of Land Supply-Side Structure Reform in Haidian District/781 25.2 Optimization Path of Land Supply-Side Structure Reform in Sujiatuo Town/794 25.3 Optimization Path of Land Supply-Side Structure Reform in Qiwangfen Village/804 CHAPTER 26 A CASE STUDY OF LAND SUPPLY-SIDE STRUCTURAL REFORM FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF“MULTIPLE PLANNING INTEGRATION”BASED ON VERTICAL CORRELATION AND HORIZONTAL COMPARISON 26.1 “Multiple Planning Integration”Land Space Planning in Hebei Province/812 26.2 “Multiple Planning Integration”Land Space Planning in Wuhan/822 26.3 “Multiple Planning Integration”Land Space Planning in Xundian County/864 CHAPTER 27 CASE STUDY OF LAND SUPPLY-SIDE STRUCTURAL REFORM FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF“MULTIPLE PLANNING INTEGRATION”OF“POINT-LINE-AREA”CROSS REGIONAL PLANNING 27.1 Optimal Allocation of Land Space Units/896 27.2 Optimal Path of Land Space Lead Connection/905 27.3 Zoning and Internal Optimization of Land Space Plate/927 CHAPTER 28 CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS 28.1 Conclusion/934 28.2 Recommendations/944 REFERENCES/967 INDEX/1004 POSTSCRIPT/1008